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Qualitative approach for assessing runoff temporal dependence through geometrical symmetry

dc.contributor.authorZazo, Santiago
dc.contributor.authorMacian-Sorribes, Hector
dc.contributor.authorFael, Cristina Maria Sena
dc.contributor.authorMartín, Ana María
dc.contributor.authorMolina, Jose-Luis
dc.contributor.authorPulido-Velazquez, Manuel
dc.date.accessioned2020-01-20T09:58:20Z
dc.date.available2020-01-20T09:58:20Z
dc.date.issued2019-11-28
dc.description.abstractCurrently, noticeable changes in traditional hydrological patterns are being observed on the short and medium-term. These modifications are adding a growing variability on water resources behaviour, especially evident in its availability. Consequently, for a better understanding/knowledge of temporal alterations, it is crucial to develop new analytical strategies which are capable of capturing these modifications on its temporal behaviour. This challenge is here addressed via a purely stochastic methodology on annual runoff time series. This is performed through the propagation of temporal dependence strength over the time, by means of Causality, supported by Causal Reasoning (Bayes’ theorem), via the relative percentage of runoff change that a time-step produces on the following ones. The result is a dependence mitigation graph, whose analysis of its symmetry provides an innovative qualitative approach to assess time-dependency from a dynamic and continuous perspective against the classical, static and punctual result that a correlogram offers. This was evaluated/applied to four Spanish unregulated river sub-basins; firstly on two Douro/Duero River Basin exemplary case studies (the largest river basin at Iberian Peninsula) with a clearly opposite temporal behaviour, and subsequently applied to two watersheds belonging to Jucar River Basin (Iberian Peninsula Mediterranean side), characterised by suffering regular drought conditions.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationZazo, S.; Hector, M.S.; Fael, C.M.S.; Martíns, A.M.; Molina, J.L. & Pulido-Velazquez, M. (2019). Qualitative approach for assessing runoff temporal dependence through geometrical symmetry. Proccedings of ICEUBI2019 - International Congress on Engineering. Engineering for Evolution. Universidade da Beira Interior, Covilhã, Portugal, November 27-29.pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.6/8493
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.subjectCausal Reasoningpt_PT
dc.subjectTheorem of Bayespt_PT
dc.subjectTemporal dependence propagationpt_PT
dc.subjectRunoff time seriespt_PT
dc.subjectWater resources managementpt_PT
dc.titleQualitative approach for assessing runoff temporal dependence through geometrical symmetrypt_PT
dc.typeconference object
dspace.entity.typePublication
person.familyNameZazo
person.familyNameMacian-Sorribes
person.familyNameSena Fael
person.familyNameMolina
person.familyNamePULIDO-VELAZQUEZ
person.givenNameSantiago
person.givenNameHector
person.givenNameCristina Maria
person.givenNameJose-Luis
person.givenNameMANUEL
person.identifier.ciencia-id1712-0D1F-A5B3
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0265-1590
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4077-9955
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-6943-6537
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-1001-3601
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-7009-6130
person.identifier.ridN-1619-2014
person.identifier.scopus-author-id15123926700
person.identifier.scopus-author-id57195838033
person.identifier.scopus-author-id6507259351
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeconferenceObjectpt_PT
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relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery7b22593c-d569-45c4-b196-5c4b24f4fa61

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