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Trends in diabetes incidence from 1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: A Portuguese General Practitioner's Network study

2016-08-16Journal article Open access
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dc.contributor.authorSousa-Uva, Mafalda de
dc.contributor.authorAntunes, Liliana
dc.contributor.authorNunes, Baltazar
dc.contributor.authorRodrigues, Ana Paula
dc.contributor.authorSimões, José Augusto Rodrigues
dc.contributor.authorRibeiro, R. T.
dc.contributor.authorBoavida, José
dc.contributor.authorDias, Carlos
dc.date.accessioned2018-07-09T09:33:18Z
dc.date.available2018-07-09T09:33:18Z
dc.date.issued2016-08-16
dc.description.abstractBackground: Diabetes is known as a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide.Portugal is known as the European country with the highest prevalence of this disease.While diabetes prevalence data is updated annually in Portugal, the General Practitioner’s(GP) Sentinel Network represents the only data source on diabetes incidence. This studydescribes the trends in Diabetes incidence, between 1992 and 2015, and estimate projectionsfor the future incidence rates in Portugal until 2024.Methods: An ecological time-series study was conducted using data from GP Sentinel Net-work between 1992 and 2015. Family doctors reported all new cases of Diabetes in theirpatients’ lists. Annual trends were estimated through Poisson regression models as well asthe future incidence rates (until 2024), sex and age group stratified. Incidence rate projec-tions were adjusted to the distribution of the resident Portuguese population given StatisticsPortugal projections.Results: The average increase in Diabetes incidence rate was in total 4.29% (CI95% 3.80–4.80)per year under study. Until 1998–2000, the annual incidence rate was higher in women, andfrom 1998–2000 to 2013–2015 turn out to be higher in men. The incidence rate projected for2022–2024 was 972.77/105inhabitants in total, and 846.74/105and 1114.42/105, respectively,in women and men.Conclusions: This is the first study in Portugal to estimate diabetes incidence rate projections.The disturbing reported projections seem realistic if things continue as in the past. Actually,effective public health policies will need to be undertaken to minimize this alarming futurescenario.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationM. de Sousa-Uva, et al., Trends in diabetes incidence from 1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: A Portuguese General Practitioner’s Network study, Prim. Care Diab. (2016)pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.pcd.2016.05.003pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.6/4858
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1751991816300249?via%3Dihubpt_PT
dc.subjectDiabetespt_PT
dc.subjectDiabetes - Incidence - Portugalpt_PT
dc.subjectDiabetes - Projectionspt_PT
dc.subjectDiabetes Epidemiologypt_PT
dc.titleTrends in diabetes incidence from 1992 to 2015 and projections for 2024: A Portuguese General Practitioner's Network studypt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage333pt_PT
oaire.citation.issue5pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage329pt_PT
oaire.citation.volume10pt_PT
person.familyNamede Sousa Uva
person.familyNamedo Carmo Cerdeira Antunes
person.familyNameGUERREIRO NUNES BRAVO NUNES
person.familyNameRodrigues
person.familyNameRodrigues Simões
person.familyNameRibeiro
person.familyNamePestana Boavida
person.familyNameMatias Dias
person.givenNameMafalda
person.givenNameLiliana
person.givenNameBALTASAR EMANUEL
person.givenNameAna Paula
person.givenNameJosé Augusto
person.givenNameRogério
person.givenNameJosé Manuel
person.givenNameCarlos
person.identifierL-4695-2016
person.identifier.ciencia-idE51A-FB28-9B01
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person.identifier.ciencia-idE21F-C03C-5FB4
person.identifier.ciencia-id7C16-7829-2C89
person.identifier.ciencia-id6311-6117-ADEB
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-7910-3111
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-0453-5304
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-6230-7209
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2264-4723
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2264-7086
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-8840-7208
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-0598-2819
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0206-5874
person.identifier.ridN-3656-2016
person.identifier.ridI-6335-2012
person.identifier.scopus-author-id36896116500
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7202534580
person.identifier.scopus-author-id23103292400
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
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