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Abstract(s)
Num artigo anteriormente publicado [Sequeira e Nunes (2008), Economic Record, vol. 84(265)], o turismo internacional aparece a ser influenciado pelo risco-país e mais em
particular pelo risco político. Nesta dissertação mostra-se quais as componentes do risco político que mais afectam este sector. Os conflitos internos é o tipo de risco que mais “prejudica” o turismo e é o único risco que sozinho afecta simultaneamente as receitas e
os fluxos de turistas. Além dos conflitos internos também se encontraram efeitos
negativos da corrupção, das tensões religiosas, da ordem e justiça, dos conflitos
externos e da participação dos militares na política, efeitos que essencialmente se fazem
sentir na chegada de turistas aos países (em percentagem da sua população). No entanto,
conclui-se que o risco total é mais importante que cada risco específico.
In a previous article [Sequeira and Nunes (2008), Economic Record, vol. 84(265)], international tourism is found to be crucially affected by country-risk and in particular, political-risk. In this article we show which risks mostly affects this sector. We show that Internal Conflict is the most harmful risk to tourism and the only isolated risk that simultaneously affects flows and returns. Besides internal conflicts, we also reach negative effects of corruption, religious tensions, law and order, external conflicts and military in power. Furthermore, we also reach the conclusion that overall risk is more important than each particular category of risk.
In a previous article [Sequeira and Nunes (2008), Economic Record, vol. 84(265)], international tourism is found to be crucially affected by country-risk and in particular, political-risk. In this article we show which risks mostly affects this sector. We show that Internal Conflict is the most harmful risk to tourism and the only isolated risk that simultaneously affects flows and returns. Besides internal conflicts, we also reach negative effects of corruption, religious tensions, law and order, external conflicts and military in power. Furthermore, we also reach the conclusion that overall risk is more important than each particular category of risk.
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Keywords
Turismo internacional - Risco político Turismo - Política internacional