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Abstract(s)
No Brasil, a infraestrutura rodoviária desempenha um papel crucial no desenvolvimento
econômico, facilitando a mobilidade e reduzindo custos logísticos. Este estudo aborda as
limitações dos métodos tradicionais de avaliação econômica de projetos de
infraestrutura rodoviária, destacando a necessidade de uma abordagem mais abrangente
que considere os benefícios econômicos de longo prazo, sociais e ambientais. Análises
tradicionais, como a Análise Custo-Benefício (ACB), a Taxa Interna de Retorno (TIR) e o
Valor Presente Líquido (VPL), são discutidas em relação às suas limitações em capturar
todos os impactos dos investimentos. O estudo propõe a integração de abordagens mais
holísticas para fornecer uma avaliação completa e precisa dos impactos econômicos dos
projetos de infraestrutura.
Além disso, este estudo investiga o impacto dos investimentos em infraestrutura
rodoviária no crescimento econômico dos estados brasileiros, utilizando dados de 2001
a 2023. As análises foram conduzidas com modelos de regressão de efeitos fixos,
revelando que o estoque de infraestrutura rodoviária tem um impacto significativo e
positivo no PIB per capita dos estados, enquanto o crescimento do estoque de rodovias
mostrou um impacto negativo, sugerindo um desfasamento temporal para a
materialização dos benefícios econômicos. Além disso, os investimentos federais em
rodovias apresentaram uma correlação positiva com o crescimento econômico. Os
resultados destacam a importância de investimentos contínuos e estratégicos em
infraestrutura rodoviária para promover o desenvolvimento econômico e reduzir
desigualdades regionais.
In Brazil, road infrastructure plays a crucial role in economic development, facilitating mobility and reducing logistical costs. This study addresses the limitations of traditional economic evaluation methods for road infrastructure projects, highlighting the need for a more comprehensive approach that considers long-term economic, social, and environmental benefits. Traditional analyses, such as Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and Net Present Value (NPV), are discussed in relation to their limitations in capturing all investment impacts. The study proposes the integration of more holistic approaches to provide a more complete and accurate evaluation of the economic impacts of infrastructure projects. Furthermore, this study investigates the impact of road infrastructure investments on the economic growth of Brazilian states, using data from 2001 to 2023. The analyses were conducted with fixed effects regression models, revealing that the existing road infrastructure stock has a significant and positive impact on the states' per capita GDP, while the growth of the road infrastructure stock showed a negative impact, suggesting a time lag for the economic benefits to materialize. Additionally, federal road investments showed a positive correlation with economic growth. The results highlight the importance of continuous and strategic investments in road infrastructure to promote economic development and reduce regional inequalities.
In Brazil, road infrastructure plays a crucial role in economic development, facilitating mobility and reducing logistical costs. This study addresses the limitations of traditional economic evaluation methods for road infrastructure projects, highlighting the need for a more comprehensive approach that considers long-term economic, social, and environmental benefits. Traditional analyses, such as Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and Net Present Value (NPV), are discussed in relation to their limitations in capturing all investment impacts. The study proposes the integration of more holistic approaches to provide a more complete and accurate evaluation of the economic impacts of infrastructure projects. Furthermore, this study investigates the impact of road infrastructure investments on the economic growth of Brazilian states, using data from 2001 to 2023. The analyses were conducted with fixed effects regression models, revealing that the existing road infrastructure stock has a significant and positive impact on the states' per capita GDP, while the growth of the road infrastructure stock showed a negative impact, suggesting a time lag for the economic benefits to materialize. Additionally, federal road investments showed a positive correlation with economic growth. The results highlight the importance of continuous and strategic investments in road infrastructure to promote economic development and reduce regional inequalities.
Description
Keywords
Crescimento Econômico Análise Custo-Benefício Avaliação Econômica Avaliação Êconômica de Projetos Brasil Dados em Painel Desenvolvimento Regional Infraestrutura Rodoviária Investimentos Públicos Modelos
de Regressão Pib Per Capita Taxa Interna de
Retorno Valor Presente Líquido