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As economias dos países asiáticos têm o potencial de se desenvolverem rapidamente. Algumas já são consideradas desenvolvidas. As economias com um grande desenvolvimento incrementam uma maior pressão no consumo de energia para obterem um rápido crescimento. O objectivo de estudo deste trabalho é a relação entre energia e crescimento económico, usando o modelo auto-regressivo com desfasamento distribuído (ARDL) aplicado aos dados em painel. Este painel é constituído por 17 países asiáticos e com um horizonte temporal longo (1965-2011).O resultado desta análise demonstrou que a energia não tem impacto no modelo de longo prazo, mas tem no curto prazo. Assim, no longo prazo para estes países verifica-se hipótese de neutralidade entre a energia e o crescimento económico.
The economies of Asian countries has the potential to develop quickly. Some, already are considered developed. Economies with a large development, increment greater pressure on energy consumption to achieve rapid growth. The aim of this work, is to study the relationship between energy and economic growth, using the model with autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) applied to panel data. This panel consists of 17 Asian countries and with a long time horizon (1965-2011). The result of this analysis showed that energy has no impact on long-term model, but has in the short term. Thus, in the long run for these countries, a hypothesis of neutrality between energy and economic growth.
The economies of Asian countries has the potential to develop quickly. Some, already are considered developed. Economies with a large development, increment greater pressure on energy consumption to achieve rapid growth. The aim of this work, is to study the relationship between energy and economic growth, using the model with autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) applied to panel data. This panel consists of 17 Asian countries and with a long time horizon (1965-2011). The result of this analysis showed that energy has no impact on long-term model, but has in the short term. Thus, in the long run for these countries, a hypothesis of neutrality between energy and economic growth.
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Palavras-chave
Energia - Crescimento economico Crescimento sustentável - Consumo de energia